Well, we are at the 97% mark on another fun-filled year of law school applications, and the year turned out more-or-less as expected. While there was an initial burst of applicants early in the 2017 cycle, everything seemed to level out again to around 55,000 total applicants.
For the sake of comparison, the applicant curve looks the most like 2014 as opposed to other years. The "math error" described in the previous post on this subject continued to hold true, so while LSAC reports a decline of 0.5% applicants, we show that applicants went up 1.5%, and you can see it if you squint at the differences in the chart above.
From a rate-of-change-of-applicants perspective, 2017 looked a lot like 2014 as well. 2016 continues to be an anomaly compared to past years, in that the applicant rate ramped up very slowly and then declined slowly late in cycle. In contrast, 2017 was another quick ramp/quick decline in terms of applicant rate. We still have yet to return to anything similar to 2012 levels, regardless.
All in all, applications have not bounced-back for five years now. While there are still too many people applying to law school, the message appears to be taking hold and applicants are not coming in droves either, despite declining admission standards and efforts to increase the crop by the Cartel. This is good news for the scamblog movement, so let's keep the message going!