Well, here we are at the end of another exciting application cycle. The model predictions made around week 22 continued to hold strong, almost like clockwork. With 98% of precincts reporting in, it appears that there will be slightly over 60,000 applicants for 2017-2018, a 6% increase over last year.
(LSAC says it's 8%, but apples-to-apples and all that.)
Whether the increase is 6%, 8%, or 25%, any increase outside the noise range is that many law students too many. One has to ask why applications are essentially back to 2013 levels this year. Some say it is the Trump-bump, which could be. My personal opinion is that we have a whole new cadre applying who have not seen the horror stories, or paid that much attention to the ones they did see. Perhaps snowflake-syndrome still runs strong.
However, all is not well in cartel-land. While the clinking of champagne glasses most likely continues unabated, there is one nagging doubt that remains. Has the low-hanging fruit actually been plucked? According to BusinessWire:
Data in the 58-page report [concerning undergraduates] is broken out by 18 individual and college institutional variables including gender, race/ethnicity, financial background, sexual orientation, regional origins, expected student debt load, SAT/ACT scores, college grades, college major and other variables for individuals, and public/private status, and college/university type/Carnegie class for institutions.
So, outside of gunners and snowflakes, who have already made up their minds prior to considering alternate data, perhaps the message is sinking in for those who are not already pot-commited. One can only hope.